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See LARGE 2.4 mb] Rainfall accumulation animation from 29 August - 2 September , 2006
See SMALLER [.5 mb] QUICKTIME ANIMATION of accumulation
See MEDIUM [.9 mb] MPEG ANIMATION of accumulation
ERNESTO BRINGS HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTH FLORIDA, ATLANTIC COAST
Ernesto, the first hurricane of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season, made landfall as
a weak tropical storm at the southern tip of Florida on the evening of 29 August 2006
after passing through Cuba and the central Caribbean. Wind damage was minimal in
south Florida, but Ernesto did contribute a significant amount of rainfall to the
region.
The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission or TRMM satellite came into service in
November of 1997. From its low-earth orbit, TRMM has been measuring rainfall over
the global Tropics using a combination of passive microwave and active radar sensors.
The TRMM-based, near-real time Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (MPA) at the
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center monitors rainfall over the global Tropics. MPA
rainfall totals are shown here for the period 29 August to 2 September 2006 for the
southeastern United States. It shows rainfall totals on the order of 10 to 12 inches
(red area) over southwestern peninsular Florida.
After cutting across south-central Florida, Ernesto re-emerged over the open waters
of the Atlantic and began to re-intensify. Ernesto then made it's second US landfall
on the evening of September 1st near Wilmington, North Carolina just below hurricane
strength. As the storm weakened over land, it merged with a frontal system that had
been positioned across the southeast. Rainfall totals across the Mid-Atlantic region
are generally in excess of 3 inches (green areas) for the period and reach as high as
12 inches (red area) over southeastern Virginia. Not all of the rainfall in the
Mid-Atlantic is due to Ernesto. The slow moving frontal system provided the focus
for showers and thunderstorms, which were responsible for several inches of rain
before Ernesto arrived in the area.
ERNESTO BECOMES THE FIRST ATLANTIC HURRICANE OF THE SEASON
On Sunday August 27, 2006, near the one-year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina,
Ernesto became the first storm of the Atlantic season to reach hurricane intensity
while passing through the central Caribbean. Ernesto did not maintain hurricane
intensity for long, however, and was soon downgraded back to a tropical storm
after nipping the southwestern tip of Hispaniola.
Ernesto formed from an easterly wave that had propagated westward across the
Atlantic and into the Caribbean. After passing through the Windward Islands,
convective activity and organization within the wave increased, and a tropical
depression, TD #5, formed on the 24th of August northwest of Grenada.
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This first image on the left above shows TD #5 in the southeastern Caribbean soon after it had
formed. The image was from data obtained at 0241 UTC 25 August 2006 (10:41 pm EDT 24 August
2006) by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (or TRMM) satellite. With a
suite of active and passive sensors, TRMM is designed to measure rainfall from
space. The image shows instantaneous rain rates associated with areas of
convection within the depression. Rain rates in the center swath are from the
TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), while those in the outer swath are from the TRMM
Microwave Imager (TMI). The rain rates are overlaid on infrared (IR) data from
the TRMM Visible Infrared Scanner (VIRS). Scattered areas of light (blue) to
moderate (green) rain with little evidence of organization reveal that the system
is still in its early stages of development.
TD #5 continued to slowly develop and became Tropical Storm Ernesto the next day,
August 25th (local time). As the system tracked off to the west-northwest, it
encountered southwesterly winds aloft, which inhibited the storm from gaining
much strength despite sufficiently warm sea surface temperatures. The next image on the right above
from TRMM was from data obtained at 1134 UTC (7:34 am EDT) 26 August as Ernesto was passing
south of the Dominican Republic. At this time intense areas of rain are present
within the storm (red areas) and indicate areas of active convection. However,
Ernesto still does not have a visible eye nor a particularly well-developed
circulation that can be identified in the rain field.
The next image on the right was obtained at the same exact time as the previous image and gives
a 3D perspective of the storm from the TRMM PR. The view is to the north. TRMM
reveals several deep convective towers (shown in red) that top out over 15 km.
These are associated with the heavy rain in the previous image. Such towers can be
an indication of future intensification when they occur near the center of the
circulation. However, Ernesto did not respond to the deep convection as a result
of inhibiting wind shear and instead remained at minimal tropical storm intensity.
At the time of these last two images, Ernesto's maximum sustained winds were
reported at 40 knots (46 mph) by the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
Ernesto continued to encounter southwesterly shear aloft as it moved into the central
Caribbean. The storm then took a jog to the north and assumed a more northwesterly
track taking it in the direction of southwestern Haiti. The next image from TRMM
was from data obtained at 0224 UTC 27 August (10:24 pm EDT 26 August) as Ernesto was approaching Haiti.
Although the center of the storm does not fall within the PR swath, the rainfall
pattern from TRMM confirms that the rain and associated convection are still confined
to the eastern side of the storm as the result of the impending wind shear. At the
time of this image, Ernesto's sustained winds were up slightly to 50 knots (58 mph).
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During the night of the 26th, the shear across Ernesto finally relaxed, allowing
the storm to intensify into a Category 1 hurricane. By this time, however, it
was already very close to southwestern Haiti. Ernesto crossed the southwestern tip
of Haiti on the afternoon of the 27th, causing it to weaken back into a tropical storm.
Ernesto then continued on to the northwest where it made landfall in southeastern
Cuba on the morning of the 28th. After crossing Cuba, a rather disorganized Ernesto
re-emerged over the warm water of the Florida Straits and headed for south Florida.
Fortunately, Ernesto had little time to strengthen and made landfall during the night
of the 29th at the southern tip of Florida after passing through the upper Keys as a
weak tropical storm. |
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The final image on the right from TRMM was taken 0254 UTC 30 August (10:54 pm EDT 29 August)
and captures Ernesto just as the center was making landfall on the coast of south
Florida. Most of the rain shield (broad blue arc) is well ahead of the center of
circulation. The center itself is rather devoid of rain (note the patch of light
rain in blue near the southern tip of the peninsula). At landfall, NHC reported
that Ernesto's maximum sustained winds were 40 knots (46 mph).
Initial reports indicate only minimal damage from the storm in Florida. Ernesto,
however, is expected to continue to make its way up the eastern seaboard and could
regain some strength over the western Atlantic if it follows the projected path.
The biggest impact from the storm could be in the form of heavy rains if as expected
it merges with an approaching frontal system later in the week. |
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LARGE [8.7mb] 3-D FLYBY QUICKTIME animation Of 15 dbz Precipitation Radar
LARGE [1.5mb] 3-D FLYBY MPEG animation Of 15 dbz Precipitation Radar
TRMM is a joint mission between NASA and the Japan
Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA).
Images produced by Hal Pierce (SSAI/NASA GSFC) and caption by Steve Lang
(SSAI/NASA GSFC).
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